Decomposition of Debt - GDP Ratio for United Kingdom : 1984 - 2009 ∗

نویسنده

  • Piyali Das
چکیده

Most advanced nations today are witnessing a peace-time public debt surge that match post World War levels. This raises concerns about fiscal financing and liquidation of the stock of debt specially in the face of changing demographics. United Kingdom being one of the advanced nations with a high level of public debt and an aging population is facing similar issues of fiscal financing. This paper attempts to decompose the evolution in the debt-to-GDP ratio of UK between 1984-2009 into nominal returns, inflation, GDP growth rate and primary deficit. The results of the decomposition show that the government of UK did inflate away part of the debt but most of the adjustments was due to the low interest rates and the changes in the primary deficit.

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تاریخ انتشار 2011